ACX 2024 Prediction Contest Halfway Review

Quick reference: in a new scratch buffer, Quick reference: in a new scratch buffer, In[1]:In[1]: ((with-current-bufferwith-current-buffer (current-buffer) (make-comint-in-buffer (current-buffer) (make-comint-in-buffer "perl""perl" (current-buffer) (current-buffer) "perl""perl" nil nil "-de""-de" "0""0")) )) That’s it! That’s it! Some Some clicli​s are not built on readline, and they are a pain to use. There’s no support for editing the input, and every keypress inserts characters –...​s are not built on readline, and they are a pain to use. There’s no support for editing the input, and every keypress inserts characters –...

Quick check: do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Quick check: do you agree or disagree with the following statement: If a study finds a result significant at a p=0.05 level, that means they have followed a methodology which produces this conclusion correctly 95 % of the time. If a study finds a result significant at a p=0.05 level, that means they have followed a methodology which produces this conclusion correctly 95 % of the time. Yes or no? Keep that in mind, and we’ll get back to it. Yes or no? Keep that in mind, and we’ll get back to it. I’m reading the Fisher book where he popularised the p-value I’m reading the Fisher book where he popularised the p-value1111 Statistical Methods for Research...Statistical Methods for Research...

This article is seven years old, but it was never published. I don’t know why. This article is seven years old, but it was never published. I don’t know why. mpimpi is not meant to be used. It is a low-level interface designed to build libraries upon, because it is expensive to develop supercomputing libraries tailored to each specific high-performance number-crunching cluster system, so libraries are built on is not meant to be used. It is a low-level interface designed to build libraries upon, because it is expensive to develop supercomputing libraries tailored to each specific high-performance number-crunching cluster system, so libraries are built on mpimpi, which is then implemented on the high-performance clusters. This means , which is then implemented on the high-performance clusters. This means mpimpi is... is...

I forgot to write a retrospective for the 2024 Q2 Quarterly Cup, because my approach to forecasting has become kind of boring: I only do it by gut feeling. No research, no analytics, not looking at the community prediction. This is not because my gut feeling is so great – it is because I have too many other things going on that I cannot take the time to forecast more accurately. I forgot to write a retrospective for the 2024 Q2 Quarterly Cup, because my approach to forecasting has become kind of boring: I only do it by gut feeling. No research, no analytics, not looking at the community prediction. This is not because my gut feeling is so great – it is because I have too many other things going on that I cannot take the time to forecast more accurately. I still want to share what my accuracy is, though, in the interest... I still want to share what my accuracy is, though, in the interest...

I have long struggled with understanding what probability-generating functions are and how to intuit them. There were two pieces of the puzzle missing for me, and we’ll go through both in this article. I have long struggled with understanding what probability-generating functions are and how to intuit them. There were two pieces of the puzzle missing for me, and we’ll go through both in this article. There’s no real reason for anyone other than me to care about this, but if you’ve ever heard the term There’s no real reason for anyone other than me to care about this, but if you’ve ever heard the term pgfpgf or or characteristic functioncharacteristic function and you’re curious what it’s about, hop on for the ride! and you’re curious what it’s about, hop on for the ride!