Probabilistic reasoning and formal proof

from blog lawrencecpaulson.github.io, | ↗ original
Many are the pitfalls awaiting anybody trying to formalise a proof, but the worst are appeals to intuition. These are typically a sign that the author can’t be bothered to outline a calculation or argument. Perhaps the claim is obvious (to them, not to you). Probabilistic claims, say about drawing coloured balls from a sack, may look...